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Research Article

Supply-side drivers of phosphorus emissions from phosphorus supply chains in China

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Article: 2107578 | Received 10 Jan 2022, Accepted 25 Jul 2022, Published online: 13 Aug 2022
 

ABSTRACT

Human activities interfere with natural Phosphorus (P) cycles by introducing increased levels of P emissions to air, land, and water. A supply-side analysis of P supply chains and associated P emissions can provide insights into underlying economic activities and transitions responsible for human-induced P emissions. Taking the mainland China as the case, this study constructs time-series physical input-output tables to describe P supply chains during 1949–2012. Subsequently, it identifies critical products and influencing factors of P supply chains enabling P emissions to the environment (including air, land, and water) from the supply perspective. The results show that phosphate rock, an important initial supplier of P from natural environment to China’s P supply chain, was responsible for 86% of P emissions in 2012. Moreover, food crops and livestock are important initial suppliers of P from soil to China’s P supply chain, through cultivation and pasturing, respectively. From 1949 to 2012, the change in primary input level was the largest driver of P emission increments, followed by changes in population, emission intensity, and primary input structure. On the contrary, changes in production structure reduced P emissions. These findings could support supply-side policy decisions on P emission control.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Supplementary material

Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2022.2107578

Additional information

Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [71874014]; Joint Fund Project of Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Fund [2019A1515110816]; The Program for Guangdong Introducing Innovative and Entrepreneurial Teams [2019ZT08L213].