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Review Article

A comprehensive review of sizing and uncertainty modeling methodologies for the optimal design of hybrid energy systems

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Pages 1567-1612 | Received 10 May 2023, Accepted 26 Aug 2023, Published online: 12 Sep 2023
 

ABSTRACT

Energy demand is surging with the rise in population, economic development, and ever-increasing living standards. Due to sustainability and environmental issues, renewable energy sources have emerged as a credible option to meet this increased energy demand. However, it is plagued with the issue of variability and intermittency. Hybrid energy systems are proposed as a possible solution to this problem. The optimal sizing of hybrid energy systems ensures a reliable, efficient, and cost-effective power supply. Therefore, this paper discusses different hybrid energy systems in both on-grid and off-grid configurations, followed by the review of various sizing methodologies. The article also discusses various multi-criteria design indicators acting as decision variables, sensitivity variables, and constraints in different capacities while preparing the mathematical model of hybrid energy systems. As renewable resources and their based systems are inherently uncertain, it becomes imperative to characterize and model the uncertainty associated with such systems. Sincere efforts were made to understand various sources of uncertainty and how to characterize and model these uncertainties using different methodologies. The existing uncertainty modeling approaches were studied, compared, and analyzed. Further, the need for conducting sensitivity analysis and its usage in hybrid energy system design considering different sensitive parameters were also studied.

Abbreviations

COVID=

Coronavirus disease

GHG=

Greenhouse gas

RES=

Renewable energy system

HES=

Hybrid energy system

HOMER=

Hybrid Optimization of Multiple Electric Renewables

OOP=

Object-Oriented Programming

MOPSO=

Multi-objective particle swarm optimization

LCE/LCOE/COE=

Levelized cost of energy/Cost of energy

LPSP=

Loss of power supply probability

MES=

Modified evolutionary strategy

GraSO=

Gradient swarm optimization

TNPC/NPC=

Total net present cost/Net present cost

PV=

Photovoltaic

WT=

Wind turbine

DG=

Diesel generator

BES=

Battery energy storage

PBP/SPBP=

Payback period/Simple payback period

ROI=

Rate of investment

IRR=

Internal rate of return

NPV=

Net present value

RE=

Renewable energy

ES=

Energy storage

NRE=

Non-Renewable energy

MATLAB=

Matrix Laboratory

SC=

Supercapacitor

MOO=

Multi-objective optimization

FC=

Fuel cell

BG=

Biogas

BM=

Biomass

PHS=

Pumped hydro storage

TAC/TACS:=

Total annualized cost of system

HK=

Hydrokinetic

LOLP=

Loss of load probability

LOLE=

Loss of Load Expectation

SOC=

State of charge

LPS=

Loss of power supply

ASC/ACS=

Annualized system cost/Annualized cost of system

NSGA=

Non-dominated sorting algorithm

PSO=

Particle swarm optimization

RF=

Renewable fraction

RER=

Renewable energy resource

ArcGIS=

Aeronautical reconnaissance coverage geographic information system

GOA=

Grasshopper optimization algorithm

MILP=

Mixed integer linear programming

GA=

Genetic Algorithm

ICC=

Initial capital cost

TRNSYS=

Transient systems simulation program

TOPSIS=

Technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution

TOC/OC=

Total Operating cost/Operating cost

EG=

Energy generation

IR=

Inflation rate

LeA=

Lead acid

LI=

Lithium-ion

SOFC=

Solid oxide fuel cell

PrEM=

Proton exchange membrane

EENS=

Expected energy not supplied

ELF=

Equivalent loss factor

TEL=

Total energy loss

LA=

Level of autonomy

LOEE=

Loss of energy expectation

EIR=

Energy index of reliability

LUEC/UEC=

Levelized unit electricity cost/Unit electricity cost

EIU=

Energy index of unreliability

LOLR=

Loss of load risk

TED=

Total energy deficit

AER=

Annual energy recovery

DPSP=

Deficiency of power supply probability

WRE=

Wasted renewable energy

EE=

Excess electricity

LCC=

Life cycle cost

LCUC=

Life cycle unit cost

CRF=

Capital recovery factor

DPBP=

Discounted payback period

CIC=

Customer interruption costs

CF/CFOE=

Carbon footprint of energy

CE=

Carbon emissions

HDI=

Human development index

EC=

Employment creation

SCC=

Social cost of carbon

SLLPR=

Seasonal loss of load probability ratio

DC=

Direct current

AI=

Artificial Intelligence

MPSO=

Modified Particle swarm optimization

PSO-RF=

PSO based on repulsion factor

PSO-CF=

PSO with constriction factor

PSO-W=

PSO with adaptive inertia weight

ACO=

Ant colony optimization

SA=

Simulated annealing

ACOR=

Ant colony optimization for continuous domains

ABC=

Artificial bee colony

HS=

Harmony search

MOCSA=

Multi-objective crow search algorithm

DHS/DHS=

Discrete harmony search

CS=

Cuckoo search

GPAP=

Grid power absorption probability

ALO=

Ant lion optimization

GWO=

Grey wolf algorithm

MDO-MOPSO=

Multiple design option-Multi-objective particle swarm optimization

HCHSA=

Hybrid chaotic search/harmony search/simulated annealing

TLBO=

Teaching – learning-based optimization

MOL=

Many optimizing liaisons

TS=

Tabu search

GUI=

Graphic user interface

AML=

Algebraic modeling language

HSU=

Hydrogen storage unit

BCA=

Branch and cut algorithm

SSR=

Self-sufficiency ratio

TCS/TSC/TC=

Total cost of system

POO=

Pareto optimal optimization

TDC=

Total discounted cost

AOC=

Average outage cost

LOLH=

Loss of load hours

REGP=

Renewable energy generation penetration

HPBS=

Hybrid pumped battery storage

POE=

Price of electricity

TIC=

Total investment cost

SSO=

Social spider algorithm

PDF=

Probability density function

LOLF=

Loss of load frequency

FOSMM=

First order second-moment method

PEM=

Point estimate method

MAED=

Multi-area economic dispatch

UT=

Unscented transformation

DER=

Distributed energy resources

IGDT=

Information gap decision theory

RO=

Robust optimization

AMFA=

Adaptive modified firefly algorithm

OATSA=

One-at-a-time sensitivity analysis

LSA=

Local sensitivity analysis

GSA=

Global sensitivity analysis

Disclosure statement

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

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