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Research Article

Body roundness index improves the predictive value of cardiovascular disease risk in hypertensive patients with obstructive sleep apnea: a cohort study

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Article: 2259132 | Received 10 Apr 2023, Accepted 06 Sep 2023, Published online: 08 Oct 2023

ABSTRACT

Background

Obesity, especially visceral obesity, plays an important role in the progression of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The body roundness index (BRI) is a new measure of obesity that is considered to reflect visceral obesity more comprehensively than other measures. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between BRI and CVD risk in hypertensive patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and explore its superiority in predicting CVD.

Methods

The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident CVD. The area under the curve (AUC), continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess which measures of obesity had the best predictive value for CVD risk.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 6.8 years, 324 participants suffered a CVD event. After multivariable adjustment, compared with the reference group (the first tertile), the HRs (95% CI) of CVD were 1.25 (95% CI, 0.93–1.70) and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.30–2.33) for subjects in the tertile 2 and tertile 3 groups, respectively. Compared with other measurement indicators, BRI has the highest predictive value for CVD risk [AUC: 0.627, 95% CI: 0.593–0.661]. The addition of the BRI to the fully adjusted multivariate model improved the predictive power for CVD, which was validated in the continuous NRI and the IDI (all P < .05).

Conclusions

BRI was significantly associated with the risk of CVD in hypertensive patients with OSA. Furthermore, BRI may improve CVD risk prediction in hypertensive patients with OSA.

Introduction

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a serious systemic disease that is an important cause of death and serious complications, accounting for about 40% of deaths in China (Citation1,Citation2). Especially in the past 20 to 30 years, the incidence of CVD has increased significantly in China, which has become a substantial public health and economic burden (Citation3). Hypertension is an exceedingly common condition. Current research suggests that hypertensive patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are at increased risk of developing CVD (Citation4–6).

Previous studies have shown that obesity is a major factor causing CVD (Citation7–9). However, most previous studies have chosen body mass index (BMI) as a measure of obesity. As obesity is a metabolic disease, it is insufficient to define obesity using BMI alone. Body fat distribution is not accurately reflected by BMI, and abdominal obesity is more strongly associated with increased CVD risk (Citation10). More recently, a new body measure, the body roundness index (BRI), was proposed by Thomas et al. in 2013 (Citation11). It models the shape of the human body as an ellipse or oval to obtain body circumference relative to height or roundness and uses eccentricity to predict visceral fat and total body fat percentage. Compared with other measurement methods, BRI combines height, waist circumference (WC), weight, and other indicators, which can more comprehensively reflect the proportion and distribution of visceral fat (Citation12,Citation13). Previous findings have also demonstrated that BRI shows better predictive power than BMI, WC, and hip circumference as a superior measure of obesity in assessing diabetes risk in hypertensive patients with obesity (Citation14).

Several recent studies have shown that BRI levels are correlated with carotid atherosclerosis, metabolic syndrome (MetS), and heart failure in the general population (Citation15–18). In particular, BRI is a good predictor of CVD risk in the general population. In a large cross-sectional study, Li et al. reported that BRI was more associated with risk factors for CVD and better predicted risk stratification for CVD compared with BMI (Citation19). Contemporaneously, a study found that over time, BRI trajectories were significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD (Citation15). In addition, BRI was associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and higher BRI levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death and all-cause mortality (Citation20,Citation21). However, the relationship between BRI and incident CVD has not been confirmed in hypertensive patients with OSA. Moreover, it is unclear whether measuring BRI is a better predictor of CVD compared with traditional adiposity measures. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between BRI and CVD risk in hypertensive patients with OSA and explore its superiority in predicting CVD. Investigating the relationship between BRI and CVD will enable the development of better prevention strategies to delay the occurrence of CVD events in hypertensive patients with OSA.

Material and methods

Study design and participants

The detailed procedures and main outcomes of the UROSAH have been published elsewhere (Citation22–25). Briefly, the UROSAH study was aimed at evaluating the long-term cardiovascular outcomes and risk factors of hypertensive patients with OSA. From 2011 to 2013, we gathered data from hypertensive patients with suspected OSA who visited the People’s Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. This study had a total of 3605 participants. By January 2021, 276 participants had been lost to follow-up. We included 2585 participants with OSA diagnosed by polysomnography (PSG). Furthermore, we excluded participants with a history of CVD at baseline or with missing BRI data at baseline. Finally, the sample of participants included in the analysis was 2265 (Figure S1).

This study, which complies with the Declaration of Helsinki, has been approved by the ethics committee (No. 2019030662). Consent was given voluntarily by all participants. The study adhered to the STROBE guidelines.

Data collection and definitions

Demographic, clinical, lifestyle, physical examination, medication history, and laboratory data were collected by electronic medical records. Trained research nurses performed all anthropometric measurements. Height, weight, WC, and blood pressure were measured according to standard procedures and are described in detail in the Supplementary Material. BMI was calculated using the formula BMI = weight (kg)/height (m2). Waist-to-height-ratio (WHtR) = WC/height. BRI was calculated using the formula BRI = 364.2–365.5 × (1 – [WC/2π]2/[0.5 × height2)½. Smoking and drinking habits were classified as never, past, or current. Diabetes was defined as the use of diabetes medication, a fasting glucose level ≥7.0 mmol/L, or a self-reported physician diagnosis of diabetes. As previously reported, continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) treatment and oral appliance treatment were classified as regular and irregular. After an overnight fast (at least eight hours), blood samples were drawn in the morning. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG), high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C), and triglycerides (TG) were measured in the central laboratory. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) computed by the CKD-EPI equation.

Sleep study

All participants underwent standard procedures and attended overnight PSG (Compumedics E Series, Australia) in our sleep laboratory. Sleep studies were scored by a registered polysomnographic technologist according to established criteria. The details of the overnight sleep study and scoring criteria are described in the Supplementary Material. The severity of OSA was defined by the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI): mild OSA (AHI ≥5 but < 15); moderate OSA (AHI ≥15 but < 30); and severe OSA (AHI ≥30).

Outcome ascertainment

The primary outcome in the present study was the first occurrence of CVD events (CHD and stroke). CHD was defined as a fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina, and coronary revascularization. Strokes included ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. As previously mentioned, we defined CVD events. Definitions of CVD are detailed in the Supplementary Material. Follow-up results were obtained through inpatient medical records, outpatient examinations, or telephone interviews. All clinical endpoints, including all deaths, were independently adjudicated by a blinded clinical event committee. Person-years of follow-up were determined for each participant as the time between the date of the initial exam and the date of the first CVD event, the date of death, or the date of the final follow-up visit, whichever came first.

Statistical analysis

Participants were grouped into three categories based on the tertile of BRI. The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used to determine the incidence rate of CVD. Variance inflation factors were applied to check for multicollinearity (Table S1). Schoenfeld residuals were used to test the proportional hazards assumptions (Figure S2). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox regression. The tertile median values were used to generate the P-values for linear trends. Additionally, the dose-response relationship was evaluated using multivariable restricted cubic splines. In addition, to ensure the reliability of our findings, we carried out a number of additional analyses. Subgroup analyses were done, and differences were investigated using tests for interaction. At the same time, we also conducted a large number of comparative analyses on the superiority of BRI in predicting the risk of CVD in hypertensive patients with OSA. Details on statistical analysis are provided in the Supplemental Material. All statistical tests were performed as two-sided tests with a significance level of 0.05. Analyses were conducted using R (version 4.1.1).

Results

Baseline characteristics

The current study included 2265 participants, as shown in the flowchart (Figure S1). The study’s participants were 49.62 years old on average (SD, 10.77). There were 1558 participants overall, and 68.79% of them were male. BRI on average was 4.59 (SD, 1.14). lists the study cohort’s characteristics based on the BRI tertiles. From the lowest to highest tertile, participants were progressively younger, had higher BMI, WC, DBP, serum lipids (excluding HDL-C or TC), AHI, and higher rates of diabetes. Also, they were more likely to have had antiplatelet, lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, regular oral appliance treatment, and regular CPAP treatment. For SBP, eGFR, drinking, and smoking, there was no discernible trend.

Table 1. Baseline characteristics according to tertiles of body roundness index.

Association between BRI and CVD risk

The median follow-up duration was 6.80 (interquartile range, 5.90–8.00) years. During this period, 324 (14.30%) participants suffered a CVD, 201 of whom had a CHD, and the remaining had a stroke. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed the participants in the highest quartile of BRI had a higher cumulative incidence for CVD compared with those of other groups over follow-up time (log-rank test, P < .05; ). displays the relationships between BRI and CVD risk, CHD risk, and stroke risk. Overall, there were significant positive correlations between BRI and the CVD risk () (per SD increment; HR, 1.27, 95% CI: 1.12–1.43); the CHD risk () (per SD increment; HR, 1.22, 95% CI: 1.04–1.43); and the stroke risk () (per SD increment; HR, 1.35, 95% CI: 1.11–1.65). After multivariable adjustment, compared with the reference group (the first tertile), the HRs of CVD were 1.25 (95% CI, 0.93–1.70) in the second tertile and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.30–2.33) in the third tertile. The BRI was positively associated with CVD risk in a dose-dependent manner in Model 1 (P for trend < .05). The relationship remained largely unchanged in Models 2 and 3. Similar findings were observed for the secondary outcomes.

Figure 1. Cumulative incidence curves stratified by BRI tertiles.

(a) CVD. (b) CHD. (c) stroke.
Figure 1. Cumulative incidence curves stratified by BRI tertiles.

Table 2. Associations between the body-roundness index and study outcomes.

Figure 2. Dose-response associations of BRI with incident study outcomes. (a) CVD. (b) CHD. (c) stroke. The independent variable (horizontal axis) is the BRI level, and the dependent variable (vertical axis) is the hazard ratio for the outcome. Point estimates (solid lines) and 95% confidence intervals (dashed lines) were estimated by restricted cubic splines analysis with knots placed at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles (the median as the reference).

Figure 2. Dose-response associations of BRI with incident study outcomes. (a) CVD. (b) CHD. (c) stroke. The independent variable (horizontal axis) is the BRI level, and the dependent variable (vertical axis) is the hazard ratio for the outcome. Point estimates (solid lines) and 95% confidence intervals (dashed lines) were estimated by restricted cubic splines analysis with knots placed at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles (the median as the reference).

Subgroup and sensitivity analysis

In subgroup analyses, the outcomes were similar when analyses were stratified by sex, age, BMI, smoking status, drinking status, SBP, DBP, or AHI, although several of the relationships did not approach statistical significance, mostly due to reduced power (). No discernible interactions between BRI and these stratification factors were found. However, among participants without diabetes, the associations were more obvious (P-interaction = 0.002 for CHD; ). In sensitivity analyses that eliminated cases with less than 2 years of follow-up, the results held up well (Table S2). The results of the analysis using the competing-risks models were similar (Table S3). Similar results were found in patients who were not treated with OSA (Table S4). However, further adjustment for the use of medications during the follow-up period did not substantially change the association between BRI and the risk of CVD (Table S5). In addition, E values indicated that residual confounding resulting from unmeasured confounding factors is probably mild (Table S6).

Figure 3. Association between BRI (per SD increment) and study outcomes in various subgroups. (a) CVD. (b) CHD. (c) stroke.

Figure 3. Association between BRI (per SD increment) and study outcomes in various subgroups. (a) CVD. (b) CHD. (c) stroke.

Comparative analysis of the prediction of CVD by four measurement indicators

We used receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis to determine the predictive value for CVD risk with the BMI, WC, WHtR, and BRI (Figure S3). In terms of the area under the curve (AUC) of the CVD, the BRI has the largest AUC [0.627, 95% CI: 0.593–0.661] compared with other measures (Figure S3A). We also found similar results in the AUC for CHD and stroke (Figures S3B and S3C). Moreover, we also evaluated the value of various measurement indicators for the incremental prediction of CVD. Adding BRI to the fully adjusted Model 3 significantly improved the risk reclassification of functional outcomes (Table S7). The continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 0.133 (95% CI 0.042–0.190, P < .001) and the corresponding integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) was 0.019 (95% CI 0.005–0.037, P = .007). Also, the predictive performance is further demonstrated by the maximum R-squared value after adding BRI to Model 3. In addition, we assessed clinical utility using decision curve analysis (DCA), and visual-based DCA results confirmed that using BRI to predict CVD achieved a greater net benefit than other measures (Figure S4A).

Discussion

To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the relationship between BRI and CVD in hypertensive patients with OSA. In this large retrospective study, we found a significant association between BRI and CVD risk. This relationship persisted after adjustment for numerous potential confounders. Meanwhile, the BRI shows stronger predictive power compared to other indicators. Therefore, the results of this study demonstrate that early and rational BRI control may be beneficial to prevent or delay the onset of CVD in hypertensive patients with OSA.

Obesity is a strong risk factor for the development of CVD (Citation7). Visceral obesity, as opposed to subcutaneous fat, has been shown in several studies to be a more significant risk factor for CVD (Citation26,Citation27). It has been established that visceral fat varies by race and ethnicity (Citation28). According to some research, compared to other racial or ethnic groups, Asians have a higher body fat percentage and more visceral adipose tissue for a given BMI (Citation28,Citation29). Previous studies have also shown that the discriminatory power of BMI is not ideal because this calculation does not distinguish between adipose tissue and lean body mass and does not truly reflect visceral obesity, so it may not be a good predictor of CVD risk (Citation30,Citation31). Compared to visceral fat imaging, WC is often used as a simple and easy method to assess obesity and is associated with a higher absolute risk of metabolic and CVD (Citation32). However, the main disadvantage of WC is that it does not take into account height, which may lead to underestimation or overestimation of abdominal obesity in short or taller individuals (Citation33,Citation34). In addition, differences in WC thresholds by race, gender, and age are important issues to consider (Citation35). Meanwhile, WHtR is often used as a better indicator for assessing obesity and cardiometabolic disease than WC and BMI (Citation34). However, WHtR also has limitations, being susceptible to age and other factors, and is not superior to WC and BMI in overweight and obese young adults (Citation36). BRI is a novel measurement that combines height and WC and calculates eccentricity by means of human modeling (Citation11). The BRI provides a more comprehensive picture of body shape and visceral fat distribution characteristics than these traditional measurements (Citation13). Andrei et al. found that BRI was significantly better than BMI and WC in predicting MetS and MetS components (Citation37). Another study also confirmed that BRI also showed more significant superiority than WC in predicting dyslipidemia (Citation38). Therefore, the BRI was used as a measure of obesity in this study.

Our study is a cohort study in which we explored the relationship between BRI levels and CVD risk in hypertensive patients with OSA. The results of the present study are in agreement with the existing evidence that elevated BRI due to visceral fat accumulation and abdominal obesity is a significant risk factor for CVD (Citation39,Citation40). A recent large-scale cohort study in northern China demonstrated an association between BRI and CVD risk. The result showed that participants with higher BRI levels had a greater risk of CVD and that the relationship was more significant in younger people (Citation15). Another cohort study also found similar results, showing a non-linear correlation between BRI and cardiovascular mortality. In particular, when BRI > 4.99, BRI levels show a significant positive correlation with CVD mortality (Citation21). In addition, a large cross-sectional study further found that BRI was significantly associated with cumulative cardiometabolic risk factors (Citation41). However, the above-mentioned studies may also have some limitations. These include the relatively short follow-up period, the consideration of only the general population and not the so-called highly exposed population groups, and the fact that no comparative analysis of various indicators of obesity was performed. Compared with previous studies, this study focused on the impact of BRI on the long-term prognosis of hypertensive patients with OSA and demonstrated the predictive value of BRI for CVD in this high-risk population. The results presented here throw new light on the need for clinicians to advise this population to lose weight as soon as possible, especially to reduce abdominal obesity. According to the 2019 American Heart Association Guidelines for Primary Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, which suggest that obese individuals with a BMI ≥30 kg/m2 need to lose weight to prevent the risk of CVD, our results provide further support and complement this recommendation (Citation42).

A significant finding in the subgroup analysis was that the relationship between BRI and CHD risk was more significant in non-diabetic patients compared to diabetic patients. The relationship between obesity and CVD risk in patients with diabetes is complex (Citation43,Citation44). Several previously published studies have suggested a phenomenon termed the “obesity paradox” (Citation43,Citation45–47). A study of US adults indicated that CVD mortality decreased significantly with increasing BMI in diabetic patients, while the opposite was true for non-diabetic patients, similar to our results (Citation48). Consistently, a prospective study in the UK found that obese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) had a significantly lower risk of CVD than those of normal weight (Citation49). Furthermore, mortality was lower in overweight or obese patients with T2D and cardiovascular comorbidities than in normal-weight patients, and weight loss was associated with higher mortality and morbidity (Citation45). However, the effect of diabetes combined with obesity on CVD remains controversial. This phenomenon might be due to the following reasons. First, leaner individuals with more severe diseases may lose more weight due to disease wastage than those who are overweight or obese, leading to more frailty and poorer outcomes (Citation48,Citation50). Second, patients with diabetes and obesity may have more caloric reserves and greater cardiorespiratory fitness than those who are normal weight or lean (Citation51–53). Third, diabetics with comorbid obesity are considered at high risk of CVD and may receive or seek treatment earlier in the disease course, altering the natural course of the disease compared to lean patients (Citation54). Finally, diabetes itself leads to changes in blood lipids that significantly increase the risk of CHD, which may attenuate or mask the effect of visceral obesity on CHD (Citation55,Citation56). However, detailed mechanisms remain unclear and warrant further investigations.

However, the mechanism of increased BRI levels causing CVD risk in hypertensive patients with OSA remains unclear, there exist several possible explanations. First, visceral adipose tissue regulates the uptake and release of fatty acids, but in the obese state, the fatty acid metabolism of visceral adipose tissue becomes disturbed, leading to excessive accumulation of fatty acids in visceral fat and other tissues. The excessive accumulation of fatty acids can lead to insulin resistance and fatty acid peroxidation, further increasing the risk of cardiovascular disease (Citation57–60). Second, visceral adipose tissue is an active endocrine tissue capable of producing a variety of inflammatory mediators, such as tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-6. The excessive release of these inflammatory mediators can trigger a systemic chronic inflammatory response that damages vascular endothelial cells and leads to the development of cardiovascular disease (Citation61–64). Finally, inflammatory mediators and hormones released from visceral adipose tissue can cause abnormalities in vascular endothelial function. This leads to increased angiotensin production and decreased nitric oxide production, contributing to vasoconstriction and inflammatory responses, further increasing the risk of cardiovascular disease (Citation65–67).

Several advantages of this study deserve special attention. First, this study provides a unique perspective on the potential association between BRI and CVD risk in hypertensive patients with OSA. Second, extensive adjustments and sensitivity analyses of potential confounding factors were performed in this study. The relationship between BRI and CVD risk remains robust, suggesting that our result is relatively reliable. However, a few limitations merit consideration when interpreting the results of this study. First, BRI was only evaluated at the baseline, which would not fully reflect the long-term status. Second, while multivariable adjustment and multiple sensitivity analyses were performed, unmeasured confounders cannot be excluded. Third, as an observational study, it can only prove association, not causation. Fourth, the study sample consisted of hypertensive patients with OSA in China, which may limit the general extrapolation of our result. Fifth, it may be difficult to determine the exact timing of CVD due to its prolonged development period. However, the primary aim of this analysis was to determine the association between BRI and CVD incidence, not the exact timing of the event. Lastly, the median follow-up period of 6.8 years may not be sufficient to assess the impact of BRI on CVD risk in relatively young patients.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study found that BRI, as a novel indicator of obesity, was significantly associated with CVD risk in hypertensive patients with OSA and may also provide a new reference indicator for early prevention of CVD in this high-risk group.

Author contributions

Xintian Cai and Shuaiwei Song did complete data analysis and wrote the manuscript. Junli Hu and Qing Zhu helped perform the analysis with constructive discussions. Wenbo Yang, Jing Hong, Xiaoguang Yao, and Qin Luo contributed to the conception of the study. Nanfang Li gave guidance to the whole research process.

Supplemental material

Supplemental Material

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Disclosure statement

The study’s authors affirm that there were no financial or commercial ties that may be viewed as having a possible conflict of interest.

Data availability statement

The manuscript contains all the evidence that supports the findings. On reasonable request, the associated author will provide more in-depth information and raw data.

Supplementary material

Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/10641963.2023.2259132.

Additional information

Funding

Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Key Laboratory Open Subjects (2022D04024).

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