Future soil erosion assessment based on changing land cover and different climate change scenarios in a transboundary river basin

References

• Al-Mamari, M. M., S. A. Kantoush, T. M. Al-Harrasi, A. Al-Maktoumi, K. I. Abdrabo, M. Saber, and T. Sumi. 2023. “Assessment of Sediment Yield and Deposition in a Dry Reservoir Using Field Observations, RUSLE and Remote Sensing: Wadi Assarin, Oman.” Journal of Hydrology 617: 128982. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128982
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Belay, T., and D. A. Mengistu. 2021. “Current and Near-Term Advances in Earth Observation for Ecological Applications.” Ecological Processes 10 (1): 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13717-020-00255-4
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Bhattacharya, R. K., N. D. Chatterjee, and K. Das. 2020. “Sub-basin Prioritization for Assessment of Soil Erosion Susceptibility in Kangsabati, a Plateau Basin: A Comparison Between MCDM and SWAT Models.” Science of The Total Environment 734: 139474. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139474
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Borrelli, P., C. Ballabio, J. E. Yang, D. A. Robinson, and P. Panagos. 2022. “GloSEM: High-Resolution Global Estimates of Present and Future Soil Displacement in Croplands by Water Erosion.” Scientific Data 9 (1): 406. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01489-x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chowdhuri, I., S. C. Pal, A. Arabameri, A. Saha, R. Chakrabortty, T. Blaschke, B. Pradhan, and S. Band. 2020. “Implementation of Artificial Intelligence Based Ensemble Models for Gully Erosion Susceptibility Assessment.” Remote Sensing 12 (21): 3620. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12213620.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Cook, B. I., J. S. Mankin, K. Marvel, A. P. Williams, J. E. Smerdon, and K. J. Anchukaitis. 2020. “Twenty-First Century Drought Projections in the CMIP6 Forcing Scenarios.” Earth's Future 8 (6): e2019E–F001461.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Corella, J. P., G. Benito, B. Wilhelm, E. Montoya, V. Rull, T. Vegas-Vilarrúbia, and B. L. Valero-Garcés. 2019. “A Millennium-Long Perspective of Flood-Related Seasonal Sediment Yield in Mediterranean Watersheds.” Global and Planetary Change 177: 127–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.03.016
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Desmet, P., and G. Govers. 1996. “A GIs Procedure for Automatically Calculating the USLE LS Factor on Topographically Complex Landscape Units.” Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 51: 427–433.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Doelman, J. C., E. Stehfest, A. Tabeau, H. van Meijl, L. Lassaletta, D. E. H. J. Gernaat, K. Hermans, et al. 2018. “Exploring SSP Land-Use Dynamics Using the IMAGE Model: Regional and Gridded Scenarios of Land-Use Change and Land-Based Climate Change Mitigation.” Global Environmental Change 48: 119–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.014
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dou, X., X. Ma, C. Zhao, J. Li, Y. Yan, and J. Zhu. 2022. “Risk Assessment of Soil Erosion in Central Asia Under Global Warming.” Catena 212: 106056. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106056
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Eekhout, J. P., and J. de Vente. 2022. “Global Impact of Climate Change on Soil Erosion and Potential for Adaptation Through Soil Conservation.” Earth-Science Reviews 226: 103921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103921
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fang, Z., T. Ding, J. Chen, S. Xue, Q. Zhou, Y. Wang, Y. Wang, Z. Huang, and S. Yang. 2022. “Impacts of Land use/Land Cover Changes on Ecosystem Services in Ecologically Fragile Regions.” Science of The Total Environment 831: 154967. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154967
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fang, H., and L. Sun. 2017. “Modelling Soil Erosion and Its Response to the Soil Conservation Measures in the Black Soil Catchment, Northeastern China.” Soil and Tillage Research 165: 23–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2016.07.015
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fayas, C. M., N. S. Abeysingha, K. G. S. Nirmanee, D. Samaratunga, and A. Mallawatantri. 2019. “Soil Loss Estimation Using Rusle Model to Prioritize Erosion Control in KELANI River Basin in Sri Lanka.” International Soil and Water Conservation Research 7 (2): 130–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2019.01.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gao, L., F. Tao, R. Liu, Z. Wang, H. Leng, and T. Zhou. 2022. “Multi-scenario Simulation and Ecological Risk Analysis of Land Use Based on the PLUS Model: A Case Study of Nanjing.” Sustainable Cities and Society 85: 104055. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104055
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Getachew, B., B. R. Manjunatha, and G. H. Bhat. 2021. “Assessing Current and Projected Soil Loss Under Changing Land use and Climate Using RUSLE with Remote Sensing and GIS in the Lake Tana Basin, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia.” The Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science 24 (3): 907–918. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2021.10.001
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Guo, Y., X. Du, D. Li, G. Zheng, X. Zhang, H. Chen, and J. Zheng. 2022. “How Newly Developed Shale gas Facilities Influence Soil Erosion in a Karst Region in SW China.” Science of The Total Environment 818: 151825. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151825
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hu, T., J. Peng, Y. Liu, J. Wu, W. Li, and B. Zhou. 2020. “Evidence of Green Space Sparing to Ecosystem Service Improvement in Urban Regions: A Case Study of China’s Ecological Red Line Policy.” Journal of Cleaner Production 251: 119678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119678
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huang, C., Z. Zhou, M. Teng, C. Wu, and P. Wang. 2020. “Effects of Climate, Land Use and Land Cover Changes on Soil Loss in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China.” Geography and Sustainability 1 (3): 200–208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geosus.2020.08.001
   Google Scholar
• Kaffas, K., V. Pisinaras, M. J. Al Sayah, S. Santopietro, and M. Righetti. 2021. “A USLE-Based Model with Modified LS-Factor Combined with Sediment Delivery Module for Alpine Basins.” Catena 207: 105655. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2021.105655.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Li, K., L. Wang, Z. Wang, Y. Hu, Y. Zeng, H. Yan, B. Xu, et al. 2022. “Multiple Perspective Accountings of Cropland Soil Erosion in China Reveal Its Complex Connection with Socioeconomic Activities.” Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 337: 108083. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2022.108083
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Li, X., Y. Zhou, M. Zhao, and X. Zhao. 2020. “A Harmonized Global Nighttime Light Dataset 1992–2018.” Scientific Data 7 (1): 168. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0510-y
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Liang, X., Q. Guan, K. C. Clarke, S. Liu, B. Wang, and Y. Yao. 2021. “Understanding the Drivers of Sustainable Land Expansion Using a Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) Model: A Case Study in Wuhan, China.” Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 85: 101569. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2020.101569
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Luo, Z., X. Chen, N. Li, J. Li, W. Zhang, and T. Wang. 2023. “Spatiotemporal Foresting of Soil Erosion for SSP-RCP Scenarios Considering Local Vegetation Restoration Project: A Case Study in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) Area, China.” Journal of Environmental Management 337.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Majhi, A., P.P. Patel, R. Shaw, K. Mallick. 2022. “R, you Correct? The Curious Case of Arnoldus (1977). Response to “Comment on ‘Towards Improved USLE-Based Soil Erosion Modelling in India: A Review of Prevalent Pitfalls and Implementation of Exemplar Methods’ by Majhi et al. (2021), Earth-Science Reviews 221, 103,786” by Chen and Bezak (2022).” Earth-Science Reviews 231, 104096. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104096
   Google Scholar
• McCool, D. K., L. C. Brown, G. R. Foster, C. K. Mutchler, and L. D. Meyer. 1987. “Revised Slope Steepness Factor for the Universal Soil Loss Equation.” Transactions of the ASAE 30: 1387–1396. https://doi.org/10.13031/2013.30576
   Google Scholar
• Mehri, A., A. Salmanmahiny, A.R.M. Tabrizi, S.H. Mirkarimi, A. Sadoddin. 2018. “Investigation of Likely Effects of Land Use Planning on Reduction of Soil Erosion Rate in River Basins: Case Study of the Gharesoo River Basin.” Catena 167: 116–129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2018.04.026
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• The Ministry of Water Resources of China. 2008. “The Chinese Standards for Classification and Gradation of Soil Erosion (SL190–2007).” 1–20. (in Chinese)
   Google Scholar
• Mushi, C. A., P. M. Ndomba, M. A. Trigg, R. M. Tshimanga, and F. Mtalo. 2019. “Assessment of Basin-Scale Soil Erosion Within the Congo River Basin: A Review.” Catena 178: 64–76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2019.02.030
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Olorunfemi, I. E., A. A. Komolafe, J. T. Fasinmirin, A. A. Olufayo, and S. O. Akande. 2020. “A GIS-Based Assessment of the Potential Soil Erosion and Flood Hazard Zones in Ekiti State, Southwestern Nigeria Using Integrated RUSLE and HAND Models.” Catena 194: 104725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2020.104725
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ouyang, W., Y. Wu, Z. Hao, Q. Zhang, Q. Bu, and X. Gao. 2018. “Combined Impacts of Land Use and Soil Property Changes on Soil Erosion in a Mollisol Area Under Long-Term Agricultural Development.” Science of The Total Environment 613-614: 798–809. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.173
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Pal, S. C., R. Chakrabortty, P. Roy, I. Chowdhuri, B. Das, A. Saha, and M. Shit. 2021. “Changing Climate and Land use of 21st Century Influences Soil Erosion in India.” Gondwana Research 94: 164–185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gr.2021.02.021
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Poggio, L., L. M. de Sousa, N. H. Batjes, G. B. M. Heuvelink, B. Kempen, E. Ribeiro, and D. Rossiter. 2021. “SoilGrids 2.0: Producing Soil Information for the Globe with Quantified Spatial Uncertainty.” Soil 7 (1): 217–240. https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-7-217-2021.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Qiao, X., Z. Li, J. Lin, H. Wang, S. Zheng, and S. Yang. 2023. “Assessing Current and Future Soil Erosion Under Changing Land use Based on InVEST and FLUS Models in the Yihe River Basin, North China.” International Soil and Water Conservation Research.
   Google Scholar
• Rajbanshi, J., and S. Bhattacharya. 2020. “Assessment of Soil Erosion, Sediment Yield and Basin Specific Controlling Factors Using RUSLE-SDR and PLSR Approach in Konar River Basin, India.” Journal of Hydrology 587: 124935. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124935
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Rao, W., Z. Shen, and X. Duan. 2023. “Spatiotemporal Patterns and Drivers of Soil Erosion in Yunnan, Southwest China: RULSE Assessments for Recent 30 Years and Future Predictions Based on CMIP6” Catena 220: 106703. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106703
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Renard, K. G., G. R. Foster, G. Weesies, D. McCool, and D. Yoder. 1997. Predicting Soil Erosion by Water: A Guide to Conservation Planning with the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE). vol. 703. Washington, DC: United States Department of Agriculture.
   Google Scholar
• Roy, P., S. Chandra Pal, A. Arabameri, R. Chakrabortty, B. Pradhan, I. Chowdhuri, S. Lee, and D. Tien Bui. 2020. “Novel Ensemble of Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline with Spatial Logistic Regression and Boosted Regression Tree for Gully Erosion Susceptibility.” Remote Sensing 12 (20): 3284. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12203284
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sharpley, A. N., and J. R. Williams. 1990. “EPIC—Erosion/Productivity Impact Calculator: Model Documentation.” US Department of Agriculture, Technical Bulletin 1768.
   Google Scholar
• Singh, G., and R. K. Panda. 2017. “Grid-cell Based Assessment of Soil Erosion Potential for Identification of Critical Erosion Prone Areas Using USLE, GIS and Remote Sensing: A Case Study in the Kapgari Watershed, India.” International Soil and Water Conservation Research 5 (3): 202–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.05.006
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Sreedevi, S., T. I. Eldho, and T. Jayasankar. 2022. “Physically-based Distributed Modelling of the Hydrology and Soil Erosion Under Changes in Landuse and Climate of a Humid Tropical River Basin.” Catena 217: 106427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106427
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Su, B., J. Huang, S. K. Mondal, J. Zhai, Y. Wang, S. Wen, M. Gao, et al. 2021. “Insight from CMIP6 SSP-RCP Scenarios for Future Drought Characteristics in China.” Atmospheric Research 250: 105375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105375
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Suif, Z., A. Fleifle, C. Yoshimura, and O. Saavedra. 2016. “Spatio-temporal Patterns of Soil Erosion and Suspended Sediment Dynamics in the Mekong River Basin.” Science of The Total Environment 568: 933–945. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.134
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Teng, M., C. Huang, P. Wang, L. Zeng, Z. Zhou, W. Xiao, Z. Huang, and C. Liu. 2019. “Impacts of Forest Restoration on Soil Erosion in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China.” Science of The Total Environment 697: 134164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134164
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Thomas, J., S. Joseph, and K. P. Thrivikramji. 2018. “Assessment of Soil Erosion in a Tropical Mountain River Basin of the Southern Western Ghats, India Using RUSLE and GIS.” Geoscience Frontiers 9 (3): 893–906. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2017.05.011
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tsymbarovich, P., G. Kust, M. Kumani, V. Golosov, and O. Andreeva. 2020. “Soil Erosion: An Important Indicator for the Assessment of Land Degradation Neutrality in Russia.” International Soil and Water Conservation Research 8 (4): 418–429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2020.06.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, Y., and E. Dai. 2020. “Spatial-temporal Changes in Ecosystem Services and the Trade-off Relationship in Mountain Regions: A Case Study of Hengduan Mountain Region in Southwest China.” Journal of Cleaner Production 264: 121573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121573
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, H., L. Liu, L. Yin, J. Shen, and S. Li. 2021. “Exploring the Complex Relationships and Drivers of Ecosystem Services Across Different Geomorphological Types in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, China (2000–2018).” Ecological Indicators 121: 107116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.107116
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, T., and F. Sun. 2022. “Global Gridded GDP Data set Consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.” Scientific Data 9 (1): 221. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01300-x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wischmeier, W.H., and D.D. Smith. 1978. “Predicting Soil Erosion Losses: A Guide to Conservation Planning.” USDA Agricultural Handbook No. 537, 58 pp
   Google Scholar
• Wu, Y., W. Ouyang, Z. Hao, C. Lin, H. Liu, and Y. Wang. 2018. “Assessment of Soil Erosion Characteristics in Response to Temperature and Precipitation in a Freeze-Thaw Watershed.” Geoderma 328: 56–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.05.007.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Xu, X., S. Wang, and W. Rong. 2023. “Construction of Ecological Network in Suzhou Based on the PLUS and MSPA Models.” Ecological Indicators 154: 110740. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110740
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yan, R., X. Zhang, S. Yan, and H. Chen. 2018. “Estimating Soil Erosion Response to Land use/Cover Change in a Catchment of the Loess Plateau, China.” International Soil and Water Conservation Research 6 (1): 13–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.12.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yang, X. 2020. “On the Tumen River Sub-Regional Cooperation Under “The Belt and Road": Opportunities and Future.” Northeast Asia Economic Research 4 (4): 34–45. in Chinese.
   Google Scholar
• Yang, R., H. Chen, S. Chen, and Y. Ye. 2022. “Spatiotemporal Evolution and Prediction of Land use/Land Cover Changes and Ecosystem Service Variation in the Yellow River Basin, China.” Ecological Indicators 145: 109579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109579
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yu, H., W. K. Lee, L. Li, R. Jin, W. Zhu, Z. Xu, and G. Cui. 2021a. “Inferring the Potential Impact of Human Activities on Evapotranspiration in the Tumen River Basin Based on LANDSAT Imagery and Historical Statistics.” Land Degradation & Development 32 (2): 926–935. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3775.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yu, H., L. Li, W. Zhu, D. Piao, G. Cui, M. Kim, S. W. Jeon, and W. K. Lee. 2019. “Drought Monitoring of the Wetland in the Tumen River Basin Between 1991 and 2016 Using Landsat TM/ETM+.” International Journal of Remote Sensing 40: 1445–1459. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2018.1524604.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yu, H., W. Xie, L. Sun, and Y. Wang. 2021b. “Identifying the Regional Disparities of Ecosystem Services from a Supply-Demand Perspective.” Resources, Conservation and Recycling 169: 105557. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2021.105557
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhang, Y., X. Lu, B. Liu, D. Wu, G. Fu, Y. Zhao, and P. Sun. 2021. “Spatial Relationships Between Ecosystem Services and Socioecological Drivers Across a Large-Scale Region: A Case Study in the Yellow River Basin.” Science of The Total Environment 766: 142480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142480
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhang, S., P. Yang, J. Xia, W. Wang, W. Cai, N. Chen, S. Hu, X. Luo, J. Li, and C. Zhan. 2022. “Land use/Land Cover Prediction and Analysis of the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River Under Different Scenarios.” Science of The Total Environment 833: 155238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155238
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhu, D., K. Xiong, and H. Xiao. 2021. “Multi-time Scale Variability of Rainfall Erosivity and Erosivity Density in the Karst Region of Southern China, 1960–2017.” Catena 197: 104977. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2020.104977
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar