Effect of Covid-19 in India- A prediction through mathematical modeling using Atangana Baleanu fractional derivative

Abstract

The whole world is suffering from a pandemic virus known as COVID-19 nowadays. This virus is also known as novel corona virus. There are various statements coming out regarding its generation but till now one thing is coming is that its origin place seems to be a lab somewhere in Wuhan city of China. It is also said off and on the record that covid-19 virus came into existence near November 2019 but on record, the WHO office (China) reported on 31st December 2019 that an unknown virus is detected in Wuhan city. On 7th January 2020, Chinese authorities announced about the existence of this virus. At the initial stage, it was supposed that this virus might be bat-origin but after that several other statements are coming day by day. Authors are not going to discuss about the causes of its origin. But since this virus has become the pandemic around the world so it is necessary to study this virus and its nature to predict the future outbreaks and also control strategies by using mathematical modeling.

In this paper, we are going to study the model by using Atangana-Baleanu fractional operator. Also we calculated the numeric results with graphical representation.

Subject Classification: (2010):

• 26A33
• 35C05

Keywords:

• Novel coronavirus
• Mathematical model
• Atangana-Baleanu fractional operator
• Laplace transform