ABSTRACT
The Qing era witnessed a continuation of the man-land problem that had haunted Chinese history. Since the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period, China has developed a unique mode of small-scale peasant production, which required enormous manpower on the one hand and could support a huge population on the other. Taking the Taiping Rebellion arising in 1850 as the watershed, this paper examines the changes in the man-land relationship during two periods of the Qing era and criticizes both the Malthusian Theory of Population from the West and the “overpopulation” argument indigenous in China. This paper concludes that the Malthusian Theory cannot fully explain the complexities of man-land relationship in China and that “overpopulation” was not the root cause for the collapse of dynasties in the Chinese history.
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Glossary
Anhui 安徽
Changzhou 常州
Chizhou 池州
Daoguang 道光
Dongfang zazhi 《东方杂志》
Fengtian 奉天
Fengxiang 凤翔
Gansu 甘肃
Guangde 广德
Guangxi 广西
Guangxu 光绪
Guangxuchao donghualu 《光绪朝东华录》
Guanzi 《管子》
Guiping 桂平
Hainan 海南
Han 汉
Hangzhou 杭州
He Bingdi 何炳棣
He Liangjun 何良俊
Henan 河南
Hong Liangji 洪亮吉
Huaihe 淮河
Huating 华亭
Huaxia 华夏
Huizao gesheng minshu gushu qingce 《汇造各省民数谷数清册》
Huizhou 徽州
Huoshan xianzhi 《霍山县志》
Huoshan 霍山
Huzhou 湖州
Jiangnan 江南
Jiangsu 江苏
Jiangxi 江西
Jiaqing 嘉庆
Jiaxing 嘉兴
Jin 晋
Kang Tai 康泰
Kangxi 康熙
Li Hongzhang 李鸿章
Liu Rong 刘蓉
Luo Ergang 罗尔纲
Ming 明
mu 亩
Nanjing 南京
Ningguo 宁国
Niulang 牛郎
Qianlong 乾隆
Qianzhou 乾州
Qin 秦
Qinghai 青海
Qingshigao 《清史稿》
Qingshilu 《清实录》
Qinling 秦岭
Shaanxi 陕西
Shandong 山东
Shanxi tongzhi 《山西通志》
Shanxi 山西
Shunzhi 顺治
Songjiang 松江
Sui 隋
Suzhou 苏州
Taicang 太仓
Taiping tianguo geming beijing 《太平天囯革命背景》
Taiping 太平
Tang 唐
tianxia 天下
Tongzhi 同治
Tongzhou 同州
Waiguo zhuan 《外国传》
Wang Shiduo 汪士铎
Wang Ya’nan 王亚南
Wu 吴
Wuchang 武昌
Xi’an 西安
Xianfeng 咸丰
Xinjiang 新疆
Xu Guangqi 徐光启
Xuantong 宣统
Xuxiu Shaanxi tongzhi gao 《续修陕西通志稿》
Yan Fu 严复
Yanzhou 严州
Yashan 崖山
Yili 伊犁
Yongzheng 雍正
Yuan 元
Zeng Guofan 曾国藩
Zhang Taiyan 章太炎
Zhejiang 浙江
Zhinü 织女
Zhongguo jindai renkou shi 《中国近代人口史》
Zhongguo shehui jingjishi jikan 《中国社会经济史集刊》
Zuo Zongtang 左宗棠
Notes
1 “Dili yi,” 1891.
2 See Quanguo nongye guihua weiyuanhui Zhongguo ziran quhua gaiyao bianxiezu, Zhongguo ziran quhua gaiyao,70–71.
3 “Mengzi Jinxin shang,” 310. Please also see “Mengzi Lianghuiwang shang,” in which “a compound of five mu” (page 5) and “a farmland of 100 mu” (page 7) are also mentioned, but they are slightly different in expression.
4 See “Shi xiaoya dadong,” 562–567. According to some ancient Chinese poems, Niulang (literally “cowherd”) was not a cultivator but an ox-cart man and Zhinü (literally “Weaver Girl”) was not his wife. As late as during the East Han dynasty, however, they were believed to be husband and wife in the Chinese folklore.
5 See Liang Fangzhong, Zhongguo lidai hukou tiandi tianfu tongji, 547.
6 Kang Tai’s “Waiguo zhuan” was lost in the Tang and Song periods. This quotation is from Shiji, vol. 10, 3809.
7 See Chen Shaoxin, “Xingshi zupu zongqinhui,” 423–424.
8 This table is from Jiang Tao’s Renkou yu lishi, 84.
9 See Jiang Tao, Renkou yu lishi, 85–86.
10 See Zhu Kezhen, “Zhongguo jin wuqian nian lai,” 475–498.
11 Jiang Tao, Zhongguo jindai renkou shi, 19–20.
12 We calculate the r (correlation coefficient), which equals 0.960. We mark the population with y (unit: million people) and the land with x (unit: million mu), and thus we arrive at the following regression equation: y = 5.229 + 0.025x (290.4 ≤ x ≤ 897.0).
13 Qingshilu, vol. 10/130, 893.
14 Jiang Tao, Zhongguo jindai renkou shi, 142.
15 Qingshilu, vol. 27/1441, 249–250. The Qianlong Emperor’s estimates (a population ten-times larger than that in the past) were not accurate, as he obviously took the “registered taxpayers” as actual population.
16 Hong Liangji, “Yiyan zhipingpian diliu,” 49.
17 Wang Shiduo, Wang Huiweng yibing riji, 26–27.
18 Marx, and Engels, “Guoji shuping,” part I (1850), 264.
19 I have specifically discussed the problem of missing and under-reported population statistics before the outbreak of the Taiping War. Not only was there a lack of registration in remote areas such as the Southwest and Northeast China where there was a large influx of immigrants, but there was also a lack of registration (especially for women and children) even in densely populated areas in the interior where the census was more rigorous; plus the Manchu clan and nobility, the Eight Banners Green Battalion military population, and the Mongolian and Tibetan populations were not included in the population statistics. Therefore, this period of the population was reported lower than the actual population. Taking all the above factors into account, it can be concluded that the degree of under-reporting of the statistical population around 1850, to take a conservative estimate, may be set at about 5 percent. In this case, the actual population around 1850 should be at least 450 million. See Jiang Tao, Zhongguo jindai renkou shi, 54–61.
20 Please see Liu Rong’s “Chen Shansheng diaobi qingxing shu,” 23.
21 “Hukou,” 1.
22 “Hukou” (appendix), 23.
23 For records of population decline at the end of each dynasty, see Jiang Tao, Zhongguo jindai renkou shi, 8–11; and Jiang Tao, Renkou yu lishi, 15–83.
24 See Jiang Tao’s Zhongguo jindai renkou shi, 243–244.:
25 Malthus, Renkou yuanli, 7.
26 Xu Guangqi, “Xuanhu xiansheng jingtian kao,” vol. 4, 5.
27 Sun Yet-sen, “Shang Li Hongshang shu,” 16.
28 Zhang Taiyan, “Qiushu,” 26.
29 Yan Fu, “Baozhong yuyi,” vol. 1, 6.
30 “Sheshuo: lun Zhongguo zhiluan yu renkou zhi guanxi,”129–131.
31 Luo Ergang, “Taiping tianguo geming qian,” 89–154.
32 Wang Ya’nan, Makesi zhuyi de renkou lilun, 30.
33 Simon, Renkou zengzhang jingjixue, 247.
34 “Bayan,” 10.
35 See Luo Ergang quanji, vol. 6, 155–249.
36 There are many related records, the most prominent of these is the “Request for the Sea Border Harvesting and Cotton Planting” by Gao Jin, the Governor-general of Jiangsu and Jiangxi in 1775, see Xuxiu Siku quanshu 473 shibu zhaoling zouyilei, 514.
37 He Liangjun, Siyouzhai congshuo, vol. 13, 12.
Additional information
Notes on contributors
Tao JIANG
JIANG Tao is professor at the Institute of Modern History, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. His main research areas are political history and demographic history of modern China. His main publications in the field of population history include: Zhongguo jindai renkou shi (A History of Modern Chinese Population, Hangzhou: Zhejiang renmin chubanshe, 1993; Taipei: Nantian shuju, 1998) and Renkou yu lishi: Zhongguo chuantong renkou jiegou yanjiu (Population and History: A Study of Traditional Chinese Population Structure, Beijing: renmin chubanshe, 1998).