Abstract
Integrated deterrence is a new concept in current US National Security Strategy. The concept itself reflects today’s strategic reality. Yet, deterrence today is not at all ‘integrated’; there is no agreement on what is to be deterred and how to use collective resources to deter it. It is also unclear which organisation should oversee the integration process. And, given the panoply of military services, government organisations and allied and partner nations involved, who is responsible for devising, articulating and executing this global deterrence strategy? To answer this question, James Wirtz and Jeffrey Larsen first describe the concept of deterrence to explain how answering the question ‘who does deterrence’ reveals the very essence of deterrence as a strategy. They then turn to providing an answer to that question as a step forward in the process of integrating deterrence. ◼
The opinions expressed here are those of the authors alone and do not reflect the positions of any government, government agency or commercial firm
Notes
1. Rubrick Biegon, Vladimir Rauta and Tom F A Watts, ‘Remote Warfare – Buzzword or Buzzkill?’, Defence Studies (Vol. 21, No. 4, 2021), pp. 427–46.
2. The White House, ‘National Security Strategy’, 12 October 2022, <https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Biden-Harris-Administrations-National-Security-Strategy-10.2022.pdf>, accessed 7 November 2023.
3. Jim Garamone, ‘Austin Says Current Operations Give Hints of New National Defense Strategy’, DOD News, 18 February 2022, <https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/2940956/austin-says-current-operations-give-hints-of-new-national-defense-strategy/>, accessed 7 November 2023.
4. Nathan J List, ‘Conventional Nuclear Integration: Reinforcing Strategic Stability’, Air War College, Air University, 27 March 2020, p. 2, <https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/AD1107497.pdf>, accessed 7 November 2023.
5. Sun Tzu, The Art of War, Samuel B Griffith (translator) (New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1963), p. 77.
6. In the event deterrence fails, efforts can be made to deter horizontal or vertical escalation of a conflict to reduce its potential costs. Efforts to establish intra-war deterrence, however, are an unfortunate consequence of the failure to prevent the outbreak of hostilities.
7. Glenn H Snyder, Deterrence by Denial and Punishment (Princeton, NJ: Center for International Studies, Princeton University, 1959), <https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/005407396>, accessed 7 November 2023.
8. ‘It is the threat of damage, or more damage to come, that can make someone yield or comply’. Thomas C Schelling, Arms and Influence (New Haven, NY: Yale University Press, 1966), p. 3.
9. James J Wirtz, ‘How Does Nuclear Deterrence Differ from Conventional Deterrence’, Strategic Studies Quarterly (Vol. 12, No. 4, Winter 2018), pp. 66–68; Samuel F Wells Jr, ‘The Origins of Massive Retaliation’, Political Science Quarterly (Vol. 96, No. 1, Spring 1981), pp. 31–52; and Lawrence Freedman and Jeffrey Michaels, The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy, 4th edition (London: Palgrave MacMillan, 2019), see chapters on ‘Massive Retaliation’, pp. 103–20 and ‘Assured Destruction’, pp. 319–32.
10. Albert Wohlstetter, ‘The Delicate Balance of Terror’, Foreign Affairs (Vol. 37, No. 2, January 1959), pp. 211–34.
11. Melanie Sisson, ‘There is a Lot to Like in the 2022 National Defense Strategy’, Brookings Institute, 18 November 2022.
12. Jeffrey A Larsen and James J Wirtz, ‘The Meaning of “Strategic” in US National-security Policy’, Survival (Vol. 65, No. 5, 2023), pp. 95–116.
13. Colin S Gray, The Strategy Bridge: Theory for Practice (New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2011).
14. Peter Paret, ‘Clausewitz’, in Peter Paret (ed.), Makers of Modern Strategy (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1986), p. 201; Hew Strachan and Ruth Harris, The Utility of Military Force and Public Understanding in Today’s Britain (Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2020), p. ii; and Michael I Handel, ‘Who is Afraid of Carl von Clausewitz?’, in Thomas J Mahnken and Joseph A Maiolo (eds), Strategic Studies: A Reader (Abingdon: Routledge, 2009), pp. 53–71.
15. Lloyd Austin quoted by Frank Hoffman in Charlie Dunlap, ‘Guest Post: Dr. Frank Hoffman on “Conceptualizing Integrated Deterrence”’, Duke.edu, 8 January 2022, <https://sites.duke.edu/lawfire/2022/01/08/guest-post-dr-frank-hoffman-on-conceptualizing-integrated-deterrence/>, accessed 11 November 2023.
16. Task Force on DOD Nuclear Weapons Management, ‘Report of the Secretary of Defense Task Force on DoD Nuclear Weapons Management, Phase II: Review of the DoD Nuclear Mission’, 18 December 2008, p. vi, <https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/features/defenseReviews/NPR/DOD_NW_Management_Phase_II_Schlesinger.pdf>, accessed 7 November 2023.
17. Thomas Waldman, Vicarious Warfare: American Strategy and the Illusion of War on the Cheap (Bristol: Bristol University Press, 2023).
18. Dianne Pfundstein Chamberlain, Cheap Threats: Why the United States Struggles to Coerce Weak States (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2016).
19. James J Wirtz, Jeffrey E Kline and James A Russell, ‘A Maritime Conversation with America’, Orbis (Vol. 66, No. 2, Spring 2022), pp. 166–83.
Additional information
Funding
Notes on contributors
James Wirtz
James J Wirtz is a professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the US Naval Postgraduate School. He is co-author of War, Peace and International Relations, 3rd edition (Routledge, 2024).
Jeffrey Larsen
Jeffrey A Larsen is a research professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the US Naval Postgraduate School and president of Larsen Consulting Group. He is co-editor of Arms Control at a Crossroads: Renewal or Demise? (Lynne Rienner, 2024).