797
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Research Article

Development and Validation of Prediction Models for Exacerbation, Frequent Exacerbations and Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Registry Study in North China

, , , , , & show all
Pages 327-337 | Received 08 May 2023, Accepted 21 Sep 2023, Published online: 23 Oct 2023

Figures & data

Table 1. Baseline characteristics in the model and validation group.

Table 2. Baseline characteristics of different exacerbation groups in the model group.

Table 3. Predictive model of exacerbation in the model group.

Table 4. Predictive model of frequent exacerbations in the model group.

Table 5. Predictive model of severe exacerbations in the model group.

Figure 1. The nomogram of predicting exacerbation (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 1. The nomogram of predicting exacerbation (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 2. The nomogram of predicting frequent exacerbations (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 2. The nomogram of predicting frequent exacerbations (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 3. The nomogram of predicting severe exacerbations (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 3. The nomogram of predicting severe exacerbations (A) and calibration curves in the modeling (B) and validation set (C).

Figure 4. The ROC curves of model and validation group. (A) The AUC values for predicting exacerbation. (B) The AUC values for predicting frequent exacerbations. (C) the AUC values for predicting severe exacerbations.

Figure 4. The ROC curves of model and validation group. (A) The AUC values for predicting exacerbation. (B) The AUC values for predicting frequent exacerbations. (C) the AUC values for predicting severe exacerbations.

Table 6. Discriminative ability of exacerbation prediction model.

Table 7. Discriminative ability of frequent exacerbations prediction model.

Table 8. Discriminative ability of severe exacerbations prediction model.

Data availability statement

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.