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Research Article

Proposal of a New Predictive Score for the Requirement of Intensive Care Unit Admission Among Ethanol-Intoxicated Patients

, MDORCID Icon, , MSc, , MSc, , MSc, , MSc & , MDORCID Icon
Published online: 07 May 2024
 

ABSTRACT

The correct selection of ethanol-intoxicated patients that require ICU admission is crucial for reducing morbidity and mortality. This study included 165 patients intoxicated with ethanol, confirmed by blood analysis. The patients were divided into ICU group = 46 and inward group = 119. We created a new predictive score based on seven parameters of APACHE II score and seven laboratory parameters that were significant in ICU-admitted patients by giving each parameter one point. The new predictive score achieved a sensitivity of 87, a specificity of 93.3, and an area under the curve of 0.967 with a cutoff >6. On the other hand, blood ethanol level (BEL) exhibited a weak correlation with both APACHE II and new predictive scores and a weak correlation with the parameters of the new predictive score. The new predictive score included 14 parameters. This score can be used in predicting whether patients need ICU admission during assessment for ethanol intoxication in emergency rooms, independent of BEL analysis. It could potentially reduce morbidity and mortality.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Authors’ contributions

All authors contributed equally to the collection of data, data analysis, and writing of the present study. In addition, the article was revised by the corresponding author.

Ethics Statement

The study was conducted after the approval of the Aseer Institutional Review Board (No. H-06-B-091) in a date of 2022-Dec-27. The procedures followed in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committee on regional human experimentation and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975.

Data availability statement

The datasets created and analyzed for the current study are not publicly accessible for patient privacy; however, they are available from the corresponding author upon justifiable request.

Abbreviations

APACHE II=

acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II

GC/FID=

gas chromatography/flame ionization detector

ICU=

intensive care unit

PaO2=

partial arterial pressure of oxygen

PaCo2=

partial arterial pressure of carbon dioxide

GCS=

Glasgow coma scale

BGL=

blood glucose level

LDH=

lactate dehydrogenase

BUN=

blood urea nitrogen

BEL=

blood ethanol level

ARDS=

acute respiratory distress syndrome

SAP=

Severe acute pancreatitis

SIRS=

systemic inflammatory response syndrome

ACM=

Alcohol cardiomyopathy

OTARR=

Online Toxicology Analysis Requests and Results

RRS=

rapid response system

Na=

sodium

GCS=

Glasgow coma scale

FiO2=

fraction of inspired oxygen

Pao2=

partial pressure of oxygen

PaCo2=

partial pressure of carbone dioxide

K=

potassium

Cr=

creatinine

HCO3=

bicarbonates

AST=

aspartate aminotransferase

HCT=

hematocrit

ECHO=

echocardiography

LVEF=

Left ventricular ejection fraction

LVD=

left ventricular end-diastolic dimension

ROC=

the receiver operating characteristic

IQR=

interquartile range

AUC=

area under curve

Additional information

Funding

The author(s) reported that there is no funding associated with the work featured in this article.

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