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Research Article

Innovation in China’s space industry: overcoming decoupling

Pages 114-128 | Published online: 09 Sep 2023
 

ABSTRACT

China’s space program is a case study in how China has been able to become a world space power despite US export control restrictions. China’s progress in space technologies can be attributed to several factors, including high-level leadership attention, long-term planning and funding, and technology transfer, both legal and illegal. Although US export control restrictions appear to have slowed People’s Republic of China (PRC) advancements in space technologies, they have not been able to prevent China from achieving its goals. As a result, the US’s primary focus should be on maintaining its lead in space technologies through research and development rather than only attempting to restrict PRC access to US technology and knowhow.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

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3. Tai Ming Cheung, Innovate to Dominate: The Rise of the Chinese Techno-Security State, (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2022), 4 and 7.

4. Jonathan Spence, The Search for Modern China, (New York: W. W. Norton and Company, 1990), 197.

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6. Xi Jinping, “Speech at the Work Conference for Cybersecurity and Informatization,” China Copyright and Media, https://chinacopyrightandmedia.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/speech-at-the-work-conference-for-cybersecurity-and-informatization/ (accessed April 19, 2016).

7. Lauren Dudley, “China’s Quest for Self-Reliance in the Fourteenth Five-Year Plan,” Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-quest-self-reliance-fourteenth-five-year-plan (accessed March 8, 2021) and Ana Swanson, “Biden Administration Clamps Down on China’s Access to Chip Technology,” The New York Times, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/07/business/economy/biden-chip-technology.html (accessed October 7, 2022).

8. For reliable tracking of space launches, see Jonathan’s Space Report, https://planet4589.org/space/jsr/jsr.html.

9. See Union of Concerned Scientists Satellite Database, https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/satellite-database.

10. US Defense Department, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2020, p. 56 and Robert Burns, “More security? US vs. China in ‘super-duper’ missiles race,” Christian Science Monitor, https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Military/2020/0520/More-security-US-vs.-China-in-super-duper-missiles-race (accessed May 20, 2020).

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13. Andrew Jones, “China’s Yutu 2 Rover Still Rolling After Nearly 4 Years on Moon’s Far Side,” Space.com, https://www.space.com/china-yutu-2-rover-still-alive-moon-far-side (accessed September 18, 2022).

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15. Vicky Stein, “Tianwen-1: China’s First Mars Mission,” Space.com, https://www.space.com/tianwen-1.html.

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17. “Jiang Zemin Congratulates the Success of Our Country’s First Human Spaceflight” (江泽民祝贺我国首次载人航天飞行圆满成功), China Academy of Sciences, http://www.cas.cn/zt/jzt/kpzt/szwhzj/jdjs/200310/t20031016_2667176.shtml (accessed October 16, 2003); Hu Jintao, “Speech to the Meeting to Celebrate the Success of Our Country’s First Human Spaceflight,” (在庆祝我国首次载人航天飞行圆满成功大会上的讲话), CCP News (中国共产党新闻), http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64184/64186/66691/4494639.html (accessed November 7, 2003); and “Xi Sends Off Shenzhou-10 Crew,” China National Space Administration, June 11, 2013.

18. “Make Science and Technology Innovation the Primary Driver of China’s Space Development (把科技创新作为中国航天发展第一动力), ScienceNet.cn (科学网), http://news.sciencenet.cn/htmlnews/2020/11/449208.shtm.

19. “Use A New Era of Space Spirit to Develop a Strong Space Power” (以新时代的航天精神建设航天强国), Seeking Truth (求实), http://www.qstheory.cn/dukan/hqwg/2018–05/21/c_1122853891.htm (accessed May 21, 2018).

20. Sun Laiyan, “China Space Development Strategy and Key Areas” (中国航天的发展战略和重点领域), Aerospace China (中国航天), (January 2007): 7.

21. “State Council Issues 10 Major Areas of “Made in China 2025” (国务院部署 “中国制造2025”10大领域), PRC Central People’s Government, http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2015–03/26/content_2838613.htm (accessed March 26, 2015).

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24. “Full Text of Chinese Communist Party Suggestions on the 11th Five-year Plan” (中共中央关于制定 “十一五” 规划的建议 (全文),” China Communist Party News, Nhttp://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64162/64168/64569/65414/4429220.html (accessed November 8, 2002).

25. Xi, “Speech at the Work Conference for Cybersecurity and Informatization”

26. John Wilson Lewis and Xue Litai, China Builds the Bomb, (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1988), 221.

27. Ibid., 41–42.

28. Daniel Cebul, “Hyten: US Nuclear Policy Must ‘Deal With The World The Way It Is’,”.

Defense News, https://www.defensenews.com/smr/nuclear-triad/2018/02/21/hyten-us-nuclear-policy-must-deal-with-the-world-the-way-it-is/ (accessed February 21, 2018).

29. Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2020, ii, https://media.defense.gov/2020/Sep/01/2002488689/-1/-1/1/2020-DOD-CHINA-MILITARY-POWER-REPORT-FINAL.PDF and Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2021, 60, https://media.defense.gov/2021/Nov/03/2002885874/-1/-1/1/2021-CMPR-FINAL.PDF.

30. For more information on IDAR, see Cheung, Tai Ming Cheung, Innovate to Dominate, 217–226.

31. Tai Ming Cheung, Thomas G. Mahnken, “Frameworks for Analyzing Chinese Defense and Military Innovation” in Tai Ming Cheung, ed., Forging China’s Military Might: A New Framework for Assessing Innovation, (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2014), 30–35.

32. “’National Weapon’ Looking Forward to Original Innovation” (“国之重器” 期待原始创新), PRC People’s Government, http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2018–05/01/content_5287183.htm (accessed May 1, 2018).

33. Li Yaguang, Zhao Xi, and Qi Jianmin, “The Integrated Model of Management Accounting Tools Based on Integrated Innovation Theory,” in 2010 International Conference on Future Information Technology and Management Engineering, IEEE, 2010, 140–141 and He Weiping and Liu Yulong, “Appraisal of the Present Research Situation of the Theory of Integrated Innovation,” (集成创新理论的研究现状评析)], Reformation and Strategy (改革战略), Vol. 27, no. 3: 186.

34. See, for example, Li Yaguang, Zhao Xi, and Qi Jianmin, “The Integrated Model of Management Accounting Tools Based on Integrated Innovation Theory,” 2010 International Conference on Future Information Technology and Management Engineering, (New York: Springer, 2010), 140 and Jun-yi Shu and Liang Liu, “Research on the IE Integrated Innovation in China’s Light Industry Enterprises,” IEEE, 2010, 1713.

35. Tai Ming Cheung, Thomas G. Mahnken, “Frameworks for Analyzing Chinese Defense and Military Innovation” in Tai Ming Cheung, ed., Forging China’s Military Might: A New Framework for Assessing Innovation, (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2014), 33.

36. Tai Ming Cheung, Innovate to Dominate, (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2022), 217.

37. Kevin Johnson, “Chinese Espionage, Tech Theft Is ‘Greatest Long-Term Threat’ To U.S. Economy, FBI Director Says,” USA Today, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2020/02/06/fbi-director-1–000-open-investigations-into-chinese-technology-theft/4677384002/ (accessed February 6, 2020).

38. Zhao Jinlou, Ke Lixia, and Wang Yingzhao, “The Construction of Evaluation Index System for Process-based Enterprise Technology Importing and Innovative Ability” (基于过程的企业技术引创能力评价指标体系的构建), Commercial Research, (商业研究), 2008, No. 377 (2008/09): 99.

39. “Use A New Era of Space Spirit to Develop a Strong Space Power”

40. “Make Science and Technology Innovation the Primary Driver of China’s Space Development”

41. “Persist on the Road of Independent Innovation and Build a World-class Space Company (坚持走自主创新之路 创建国际一流宇航公司),” http://news.hit.edu.cn/articles/2007/07–11/07092424.htm.

42. “Technological Innovation Emphasizes Original Innovation and Integrated Innovation (技术创新注重原始创新集成创新), China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, http://www.spacechina.com/n25/n2014789/n2014804/c400552/content.html (accessed November 7, 2013) and “Start a Journey of Building a Strong Space Power” (开启航天强国建设新征程), Xinhua, http://www.xinhuanet.com/tech/2017–11/24/c_1122002732.htm (accessed November 24m, 2017).

43. Ibid.

44. According to Iris Chang, Soviet technology transfer and know-how was instrumental to China’s ballistic missile program. In 1958 the Soviet Union transferred “10,151 volumes of blueprints and technical documents for manufacturing, testing, and launching the R-2 missiles” and sent approximately 100 engineers to China to serve as scientific advisors. See, Iris Chang, Thread of the Silkworm, (New York: BasicBooks, 1995), 214 and Wang Wei and Zhou Yuan, “China and Russia Deepen Human Spaceflight and Deep Space Exploration Cooperation” (中国与俄罗斯加深载人航天与深空探测合作), World Knowledge (Shijie Zhichi; 世界知识) 2 (2021): 60.

45. Li Mingsheng, The Dream of a Thousand Years – The Story of How a Chinese First Left the Earth (千古一梦 – 中国人第一次离开地球的故事) (Chengdu: Tiandi Press, 2016), 180–190.

46. Wu Yan, “China-Russia Space Cooperation is Broad (中俄航天领域合作空间广阔),” People’s Daily, http://world.people.com.cn/n1/2018/0417/c1002–29930025.html (accessed April 17, 2018) and “Notice on Soliciting Project Proposals for the ‘China-Russia Space Cooperation Program 2018–2022’ (关于征集《2018–2022年中俄航天合作大纲》项目建议的通知),” Northwestern Polytechnical University School of Astronautics (西北工业大学航天学院), https://hangtian.nwpu.edu.cn/info/1371/10283.htm (accessed March 24, 2017).

47. “Russian Media: Russia Will Sell RD180 Rocket Engine to China, Which it Urgently Needs (俄媒: 俄将售华RD180火箭发动机 中国迫切需要),” Global Times, https://mil.huanqiu.com/article/9CaKrnjW7EK (accessed June 27, 2016) and “Russia, China to Sign Deal Paving Way to Rocket Engine Contract – Deputy PM,” TASS, https://tass.com/economy/883484 (accessed June 20, 2016).

48. “China and Russia Sign the 2018–2022 Space Cooperation Outline (中俄签署2018–2022年航天合作大纲),” Sina, http://news.sina.com.cn/o/2017-11-03/doc-ifynmnae1599050.shtml (accessed November 3, 2017).

49. “Ukrainian-Chinese Working Group On Space Cooperation Held Meeting In Yuzhnoye Sdo,” https://www.yuzhnoye.com/en/press-center/news/copy_news_669.html (accessed November 29, 2019) and “Ukraine, China to Expand Space Cooperation Program Until 2015 With New Large-scale Projects,” Kyiv Post, http://www.kyivpost.com/content/business/ukraine-china-to-expand-space-cooperation-program-until-2015-with-newlarge-scale-projects-329268.html (accessed September 12, 2013).

50. “China’s CPMIEC To Expand Space Cooperation with Ukraine,” Russia & CIS Military Weekly, August 7, 2009.

51. “China’s CPMIEC To Expand Space Cooperation With Ukraine,” Russia & CIS Military Weekly, August 7, 2009 and “Yuriy Boyko, Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine for Ecology, Natural Resources, Energy and Space,” Space News, http://www.spacenews.com/article/features/38347profile-yuriy-boyko-vice-prime-minister-of-ukraine-for-ecologynatural (accessed November 25, 2013); and “Ukraine, China to Prepare Space Cooperation in April,” China Defense Mashup, http://www.chinadefense-mashup.com/ukraine-china-to-prepare-space-cooperation-in-april.html (accessed March 22, 2012).

52. “Ukraine, China Call Over 50 Outer Space cooperation Points,” https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-economy/1408219-ukraine_china_call_over_50_outer_space_cooperation_points_290695.html (accessed October 15, 2012).

53. “Ukraine, China Approve Updated Bilateral Program of Space Cooperation Until 2020,” Interfax-Ukraine, November 27, 2017.

54. “Ukrainian-Chinese Working Group on Space Cooperation Held Meeting In Yuzhnoye Sdo,” https://www.yuzhnoye.com/en/press-center/news/copy_news_669.html (accessed November 29, 2019).

55. Bo Ma and Larysa Soroka, “The Cooperation Between China and Ukraine in Space Exploration: Genesis and Development,” Advanced Space Law, Vol. 5, (2020): 67.

56. “Ukraine and China Sign Cooperation Program Which Consists Of 69 Joint Projects In Aerospace Industry,” https://open4business.com.ua/ukraine-and-china-sign-cooperation-program-which-consists-of-69-joint-projects-in-aerospace-industry/and (accessed October 25, 2020) and “The Sixth Meeting Of The Ukrainian-Chinese Subcomission on Cooperation in Space Was Held,” https://china.mfa.gov.ua/en/news/sixth-meeting-ukrainian-chinese-subcomission-cooperation-space-was-held (accessed October 23, 2020).

57. “Summary Of Major US Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, and Sanctions-Related Criminal Cases (January 2016 to The Present: Updated November 2019),” US Department of Justice, November 2019 and “Summary of Major US Export Enforcement, Economic Espionage, and Sanctions-Related Criminal Cases (January 2015 To January 19, 2018),” US Department of Justice, January 2018.

58. “Developments in China’s Commercial Space Sector,” National Bureau of Asian Research, https://www.nbr.org/publication/developments-in-chinas-commercial-space-sector/ (accessed August 24, 2021).

59. Andrew Jones, “China Sets Targets for Smart, Recoverable and Reusable Launch Vehicles,” Space News, https://spacenews.com/china-sets-targets-for-smart-recoverable-and-reusable-launch-vehicles/ (accessed November 26, 2020).

60. Andrew Jones, “China Rolls Out Long March 8 Rocket for Weekend Test Flight,” Space News, https://spacenews.com/china-rolls-out-long-march-8-rocket-for-weekend-test-flight/ (accessed December 18, 2020).

61. Eric Ralph, “DeepSpace: China Tests SpaceX-Reminiscent Grid Fins After iSpace Snags Orbital Milestone, Teslarati, https://www.teslarati.com/deepspace-china-spacex-esque-grid-fin-test-ispace-orbit/ (accessed August 1, 2019).

62. Jeff Foust, “China’s Future Space Capsule Looks a Lot Like SCT-100 and Orion, Space News, https://spacenews.com/chinas-next-gen-capsule-looks-a-lot-like-cst-100-and-orion/and (accessed December 16, 2015) and Eric Berger, “China’s New Spacecraft-Which Resembles a Crew Dragon – Just Landed, Ars Technica, https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/05/chinas-new-human-spacecraft-lands-after-a-key-test/ (accessed May 8, 2020).

63. Cong Cao, Richard P. Suttmeier, and Denis Fred Simon, “China’s 15-year Science and Technology Plan,” Physics Today, (December 2006): 42.

64. “Developments in China’s Commercial Space Sector”

65. Luo Heng, Zhao Feng, and Liang Tang, “Research on the Development Status of US Commercial Space,” (美国商业航天发展态势研究), Aerospace China (中国航天), no. 4 (2017): 8.

66. “Developments in China’s Commercial Space Sector”

67. Luo, Zhao, and Liang, “Research on the Development Status of US Commercial Space,” and Zeng Zhankui and Shi Minhui, “Investigation and Analysis of Domestic Commercial Space Organizations,” (国内商业航天机构调研分析), Aerospace China (中国航天), no. 1 (2018), p. 11.

68. Andrew Jones, “China Gears up for Space Station, Cargo and Crewed Mission Launches,” Space News, https://spacenews.com/china-gears-up-for-space-station-cargo-and-crewed-mission-launches/ (accessed January 7, 2021).

69. For more information on Beidou, see Kevin Pollpeter, Patrick Besha, and Alanna Krolikowski, “The Research, Development, and Acquisition Process for the Beidou Navigation Satellite Programs,” University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Policy Paper, January 7, 2014.

70. “Soviet Lunar Missions, NASA website, https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/lunar/lunarussr.html.

71. Ibid.

72. “Lunar Exploration Timeline,” NASA website, https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/lunar/lunartimeline.html.

73. “Mariner 8–9,” Astronautix, http://www.astronautix.com/m/mariner8–9.html; “Viking: Trailblazer for All Mars Research,” NASA, https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/viking/viking30_fs.html (accessed June 22, 2006) and “The Mars Pathfinder Project,” Barron Research Group, https://barron.rice.edu/Courses/610/610_15_Spring/610-MarsPathfinder.pdf.

74. “The First Scientific Images from the Tianwen-1 Probe Landing On Mars Are Released, And The Five-Star Red Flag Can Be Seen in The Images,” (天问一号探测器着陆火星首批科学影像图发布 图像可见五星红旗), China News, (中国新闻), https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2021/06–11/9497502.shtml (accessed June 11, 2021).

75. The Earth-Moon L2 Lagrange point is formed by the interaction of the gravity fields of the Earth and the Moon. Located behind the Moon, satellites placed at the L2 point can remain in lunar orbit with little adjustment. See, “Lagrange Points of the Earth-Moon System,” http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/Mechanics/lagpt.html

76. Kristin Fisher and Sonnet Swire, “Top Space Force Official: China Is Developing Space Capabilities At ‘Twice The Rate’ Of US,” CNN, https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/04/politics/american-experts-us-china-space-race/index.html (accessed December 5, 2021).

77. Fan Weiwei, “Space Transportation System Development Launches Roadmap for the Next 30 Years,” Beijing Chinese Journal of Space Science (2018).

78. Ibid.

79. Malcolm Davis, “Space: The Next South China Sea,” The Maritime Executive, https://maritime-executive.com/editorials/space-the-next-south-china-sea (accessed Jul 23, 2018).

80. Patrick Tucker, “China’s Moon Missions Could Threaten US Satellites: Pentagon,” Defense One, https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2018/10/chinas-moon-missions-could-threaten-us-satellites-pentagon/152084/ (accessed Oct 16, 2018).

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Kevin Pollpeter

Kevin Pollpeter, PhD, is a Senior Research Scientist at CNA. Dr. Pollpeteris widely published on China national security issues, focusing on China’s space program and information warfare. He holds a PhD from King’s College London.

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